Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000701 0.000730 0.000759 0.000790 0.000823 0.000858 0.000896
2025-10-26 0.000639 0.000680 0.000723 0.000771 0.000824 0.000881 0.000946
2025-11-02 0.000603 0.000653 0.000707 0.000770 0.000841 0.000919 0.001012
2025-11-09 0.000567 0.000623 0.000685 0.000758 0.000843 0.000939 0.001056
2025-11-16 0.000539 0.000599 0.000667 0.000748 0.000845 0.000957 0.001099
2025-11-23 0.000526 0.000592 0.000667 0.000759 0.000870 0.001003 0.001174
2025-11-30 0.000510 0.000580 0.000660 0.000760 0.000884 0.001034 0.001233
2025-12-07 0.000490 0.000562 0.000645 0.000750 0.000883 0.001046 0.001267
2025-12-14 0.000472 0.000544 0.000630 0.000740 0.000880 0.001055 0.001297
2025-12-21 0.000457 0.000530 0.000618 0.000732 0.000880 0.001067 0.001331
2025-12-28 0.000432 0.000504 0.000591 0.000704 0.000851 0.001041 0.001311
2026-01-04 0.000419 0.000491 0.000579 0.000695 0.000848 0.001047 0.001335
2026-01-11 0.000408 0.000481 0.000571 0.000691 0.000851 0.001063 0.001375
2026-01-18 0.000396 0.000470 0.000561 0.000684 0.000850 0.001072 0.001407
2026-01-25 0.000389 0.000464 0.000558 0.000686 0.000861 0.001100 0.001466
2026-02-01 0.000377 0.000453 0.000547 0.000677 0.000857 0.001105 0.001492
2026-02-08 0.000367 0.000443 0.000538 0.000670 0.000854 0.001112 0.001520
2026-02-15 0.000364 0.000442 0.000541 0.000679 0.000875 0.001154 0.001604
2026-02-22 0.000359 0.000437 0.000538 0.000680 0.000885 0.001179 0.001664
2026-03-01 0.000350 0.000428 0.000528 0.000672 0.000880 0.001183 0.001689
2026-03-08 0.000341 0.000418 0.000519 0.000663 0.000874 0.001184 0.001709
2026-03-15 0.000333 0.000410 0.000511 0.000657 0.000871 0.001190 0.001739
2026-03-22 0.000319 0.000394 0.000491 0.000633 0.000841 0.001153 0.001692